{"id":18966,"date":"2023-05-31T15:01:08","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T15:01:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nftandcrypto-news.com\/crypto\/bitcoin-hodlers-exited-capitulation-above-20k-new-metric-hints\/"},"modified":"2023-05-31T15:01:12","modified_gmt":"2023-05-31T15:01:12","slug":"bitcoin-hodlers-exited-capitulation-above-20k-new-metric-hints","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nftandcrypto-news.com\/crypto\/bitcoin-hodlers-exited-capitulation-above-20k-new-metric-hints\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin hodlers exited ‘capitulation’ above $20K, new metric hints"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Bitcoin (BTC) is in a \u201ctransition,” which should pave the way to the next bull market top, new research has concluded.<\/p>\n

In the latest edition of its weekly newsletter, \u201cThe Week On-Chain,\u201d analytics firm Glassnode unveiled its latest tool for tracking Bitcoin\u2019s resurgence.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin hodlers in “transition”<\/h2>\n

After the 2022 bear market and signs of recovery in Q1 this year, on-chain metrics have undergone a broad transformation, many suggesting that a long-term BTC price bottom is already in.<\/p>\n

With price action stagnating since mid-March, however, doubts have returned \u2014 along with downside targets which stretch toward $20,000.<\/p>\n

For Glassnode analysts, however, Bitcoin\u2019s long-term investor base is already preparing for better times ahead.<\/p>\n

Using existing on-chain tools, analysts unveiled a new way of tracking sentiment among these long-term holders (LTHs) \u2014 those hodling BTC for at least 155 days.<\/p>\n

The tool, \u201cLong Term Holder Spending & Profitability,\u201d splits LTH behavior patterns into four phases.<\/p>\n

After a period of \u201ccapitulation\u201d at the end of 2022, LTHs have begun a \u201ctransition\u201d toward a state of \u201cequilibrium\u201d before full \u201ceuphoria\u201d \u2014 the next BTC price cycle top \u2014 hits.<\/p>\n

Capitulation is defined as a situation in which \u201cSpot price is lower than the LTH cost basis,\u201d Glassnode explains, with significant LTH spending thus \u201clikely due to financial pressure and capitulation.\u201d<\/p>\n

Transition, meanwhile, is when the \u201cMarket is trading slightly above the long-term holders cost basis, and occasional light spending is part of day-to-day trade.\u201d<\/p>\n

The LTH cost basis, as of May 30, lies at around $20,800, separate data shows.<\/p>\n

\u201cOur current market has recently reached the Transition phase, flagging a local uptick in LTH spending this week,\u201d \u201cThe Week On-Chain\u201d commented. <\/p>\n

\u201cDepending on what direction volatility erupts next, we can employ this tool to locate local periods of overheated conditions, as observed from the lens of Long-Term Holders.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Bitcoin Long Term Holder Spending & Profitability chart (screenshot). Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

“Seeking equilibrium” \u2014 but for how long?<\/h2>\n

Complementing LTHs, Bitcoin\u2019s short-term holder (STH) cohort, which corresponds to more speculative investors, is already on the radar.<\/p>\n

Related:\u00a0Bitcoin risks \u2018new lows\u2019 into monthly close as BTC price retests $27K<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Speculative activity has increased in 2023, Glassnode previously stated, making their cost basis \u2014 at around $26,000 \u2014 an increasingly important level.<\/p>\n

Overall, however, BTC\/USD remains in a narrow range, having acted within a $5,000 corridor for almost three months, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.<\/p>\n

BTC\/USD 1-day candle chart on Bitstamp. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u201cThe digital asset market continues to outperform major commodities in 2023, however all are currently experiencing a meaningful correction. Having recovered from the depths of the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin investors find themselves in a form of equilibrium, with little gravity in either direction,\u201d the newsletter summarized. <\/p>\n

\u201cGiven the extremely low volatility, and narrow trading ranges of late, it seems this equilibrium is soon to be disturbed.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Bitcoin LTH, STH cost basis comparison chart. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Magazine: AI Eye: 25K traders bet on ChatGPT\u2019s stock picks, AI sucks at dice throws, and more<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) is in a \u201ctransition,” which should pave the way to the next bull market top, new research has concluded. In the latest edition of its weekly newsletter, \u201cThe Week On-Chain,\u201d analytics firm Glassnode unveiled its latest tool for tracking Bitcoin\u2019s resurgence. Bitcoin hodlers in “transition” After the 2022 bear market and signs of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18967,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin hodlers exited 'capitulation' above $20K, new metric hints | NFT & Crypto News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nftandcrypto-news.com\/crypto\/bitcoin-hodlers-exited-capitulation-above-20k-new-metric-hints\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin hodlers exited 'capitulation' above $20K, new metric hints | NFT & Crypto News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) is in a \u201ctransition,” which should pave the way to the next bull market top, new research has concluded. 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