{"id":9673,"date":"2022-03-29T08:24:28","date_gmt":"2022-03-29T08:24:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nftandcrypto-news.com\/crypto\/bitcoin-a-nice-buy-at-47k-despite-macro-dangers-as-key-trendline-nears-research\/"},"modified":"2022-03-29T08:24:30","modified_gmt":"2022-03-29T08:24:30","slug":"bitcoin-a-nice-buy-at-47k-despite-macro-dangers-as-key-trendline-nears-research","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nftandcrypto-news.com\/crypto\/bitcoin-a-nice-buy-at-47k-despite-macro-dangers-as-key-trendline-nears-research\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin a ‘nice buy’ at $47K despite macro dangers as key trendline nears \u2014 Research"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim a key long-term moving average, but the time to buy is before, not after, one metric hints.<\/p>\n

In a series of tweets<\/a> on March 29, on-chain monitoring resource Ecoinometrics eyed a classic entry for BTC\/USD as flagged by the Mayer Multiple.<\/p>\n

Mayer Multiple nears pivot<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin price strength has endured as the week gets underway, the largest cryptocurrency putting in its highest levels of 2022 overnight.<\/p>\n

Some key moving averages have also fallen to bulls, and while the trend is not yet definitive, optimism is increasing that Bitcoin could even challenge November’s all-time highs based on that fact.<\/p>\n

Next in line, meanwhile, is the 200-day moving average (DMA), currently at $48,300 and just tapped in the past 24 hours. The 200DMA is a key component of the Mayer Multiple metric, which measures spot price ratio to it in order to determine potential profitable market entry points.<\/p>\n

A score below 2.4 on the Multiple tends to signal good long-term rewards for investors. Having bottomed in January at around 0.76, its trend has reversed since, and as of Tuesday \u2014 almost right at the 200MA \u2014 Bitcoin has a Mayer Multiple score of 0.98.<\/p>\n

“That’s a good time to buy,” Ecoinometrics argued in comments, adding that even if a breakout from the 200DMA ends up being a bull trap, losses in such situations have historically been “small.”<\/p>\n

“So even though the macro backdrop isn’t looking good, this is a buy,” a further post continued. <\/p>\n

“When it comes to these strategies with asymmetric returns you have to be systematic.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Bitcoin Mayer Multiple chart (screenshot). Source: BuyBitcoinWorldwide<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Derivatives lose their speculative tinge<\/h2>\n

Those macro tensions, which include inflation and central banks’ attempts to fight it with monetary policy tightening, remain a key topic of debate this month.<\/p>\n

Related:\u00a0Buy pressure \u2018in bull market territory\u2019 \u2014 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

As Cointelegraph reported, multiple analysts have warned that the outlook could still turn firmly against Bitcoin and risk assets more broadly as rates rise and a “stagflationary” environment emerges.<\/p>\n

The sense that a sustained rally in BTC cannot possibly form the new paradigm is evident among professional traders, as derivatives markets funding rates remain flat despite weekly gains approaching 20% for BTC\/USD.<\/p>\n

“Excessive long biased derivative market speculation is near non-existent currently,” analyst Dylan LeClair noted in a Twitter thread on the topic Monday.<\/p>\n

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Displayed below are annualized perpetual future funding rates (24 hour MA).<\/p>\n

Traders were paying ~100% annualized to go long $BTC<\/a> early in 2021. A similar but less severe speculative market arose in the fall. <\/p>\n

Today? Funding has been flat\/negative for most all of 2022.<\/p>\n

2\/3 pic.twitter.com\/lliXS72hrR<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Dylan LeClair (@DylanLeClair_) March 28, 2022<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n